IN a crucial legal development, the International Court of Justice (ICJ) is scheduled to announce its decision on South Africa’s plea for provisional measures against Israel’s alleged genocide in Gaza. The decision, set for this Friday, follows hearings where both nations presented arguments in the historic case.
South Africa lodged its complaint on December 29, 2023, accusing Israel of violating the 1948 Genocide Convention during its prolonged conflict with the besieged Gaza Strip. The application asserts that Israel’s actions aim to destroy a substantial part of the Palestinian national, racial, and ethnic group.
Pending a final ruling, South Africa urges the ICJ to institute provisional measures to prevent further harm to Palestinians and ensure Israel’s compliance with the Genocide Convention. The measures sought include an immediate suspension of Israel’s military operations in Gaza, a cessation of acts defined as genocide, and the preservation of evidence related to the alleged crimes.
Crucially, the ICJ is not required at this stage to definitively establish Israel’s violation of the 1948 Convention; it only needs to confirm that the described acts are capable of falling within its provisions or are ‘plausibly genocidal.’
South Africa presented compelling circumstances, emphasising the perilous situation in Gaza, where hospitals are besieged, experts warn of mass starvation, and Palestinians are killed every six minutes. Despite these concerns, Israel reportedly killed over 1,000 Palestinians in the week following the ICJ hearings.
The ICJ’s legally binding decisions lack enforcement mechanisms. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has defiantly stated that ‘no one will stop us, not the Hague…and not anyone else.’ The ICJ will inform the UN Security Council of the ordered provisional measures, subject to potential divergence from Pretoria’s requests. If Israel fails to comply, South Africa can approach the Security Council, yet potential protection by the US veto looms.
This decision is also considered a litmus test for the rules-based international order. Nicaragua, just ahead of the verdict, has requested permission to intervene, aligning itself with South Africa’s stance against Israel’s alleged violations of the Genocide Convention. Nicaragua’s move underscores its commitment to preventing genocide and supporting the liberation of the Palestinian people.