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Op-Ed: Can UAE capital unlock East Africa?

Zachary Ochieng argues UAE capital can help East Africa turn investment ambitions into bankable projects and long-term growth

by Editorial Staff
5 days ago
in Business & Economy
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Container ship leaving the Port of Mombasa in Kenya, a major gateway for East African regional and international trade

A container ship leaves the Port of Mombasa, one of East Africa’s key trade gateways. Zachary Ochieng argues that deeper investment partnerships with the UAE could help the region strengthen infrastructure, logistics and regional value chains. Photo: Ian Kiptoo/Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 4.0

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Keypoints:

  • UAE capital could help close East Africa’s investment gap
  • Kenya–UAE ties create a stronger investment platform
  • Bankable projects will determine whether deals deliver

EAST Africa does not have an investment problem because it lacks opportunity. If anything, the region has too many opportunities competing for too little patient capital.

From transport corridors and renewable energy to agriculture, digital infrastructure, manufacturing and financial services, the investment case for East Africa has rarely looked more compelling.

What has often been missing is the ability to turn promising opportunities into bankable projects at the scale required.

That is why the inaugural East Africa CEO & Investment Forum, scheduled for September 17–18, 2026, in Nairobi, comes at an important moment.

Organised by the East African Business Council, the forum is expected to bring together more than 500 regional and international chief executives, investors, development finance institutions, investment promotion agencies, policymakers and development partners.

Its stated emphasis on investment conversion, business-to-business and business-to-government matchmaking gives the gathering an opportunity to move beyond another round of conference speeches.

The real test should be whether credible investment opportunities move closer to financing and implementation.

The challenge is execution

The timing could hardly be more relevant.

EAC trade statistics show that intra-regional trade stood at $19.7bn in 2025, compared with $137bn in trade between the bloc and the rest of the world.

That imbalance illustrates both the challenge and the opportunity.

East Africa has a market with significant economic potential, but regional businesses are still not trading with one another at anything approaching the level that deeper integration should make possible.

Non-tariff barriers, infrastructure bottlenecks, financing constraints and regulatory inconsistencies continue to limit the ability of businesses to exploit the regional market fully.

Investment therefore matters not merely because East Africa needs more money. It matters because the right investments can help remove some of the structural constraints preventing trade, production and economic integration from advancing faster.

Kenya’s own investment pipeline demonstrates the scale of the opportunity.

Invest Kenya currently lists an active deal pipeline worth about $22bn, spanning 58 deals across 13 countries and carrying an estimated potential for 96,000 jobs.

The opportunities cover sectors ranging from agriculture and manufacturing to ICT, construction, tourism and the blue economy.

At the Kenya International Investment Conference on March 25, 2026, President William Ruto announced more than $2.9bn across 20 investment deals expected to create about 63,000 jobs.

Those investments span agriculture, manufacturing, ICT, business process outsourcing, healthcare, energy and real estate.

For Kenya, there is another conversation worth having as the Nairobi forum approaches: can the United Arab Emirates help provide some of the capital, expertise and market connections required to turn East Africa’s investment ambitions into reality?

The answer could be yes — but only if the relationship moves beyond announcements and concentrates on execution.

Kenya and UAE already have a platform

That discussion does not have to begin from scratch.

Kenya and the UAE signed a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement in January 2025, creating a formal framework for expanding trade, investment and broader economic cooperation.

According to Kenya’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the agreement was the first CEPA the UAE had concluded with a mainland African country.

The relationship was already substantial before the agreement. Bilateral trade reached KSh445bn in 2023, with the UAE becoming one of Kenya’s major trading partners.

More importantly for the investment debate, the agreement identifies opportunities in sectors including energy, water, agriculture, health, ports, airports, logistics and ICT.

These are precisely the sectors in which East Africa requires large amounts of patient capital and long-term investment.

The CEPA therefore provides more than a trade agreement.

It creates a platform from which Kenya and the UAE can test whether deeper commercial ties can translate into productive investment, expanded value chains and stronger regional connectivity.

Kenya’s challenge is to ensure the agreement becomes a vehicle for investment rather than simply another diplomatic milestone.

UAE experience fits regional needs

The UAE has built considerable expertise in logistics, aviation, ports, trade, energy and large-scale infrastructure.

Dubai’s transformation into a global trading and logistics centre was not accidental. It resulted from sustained investment in infrastructure, connectivity and an economic strategy built around linking markets.

East Africa is pursuing some of the same objectives, although from a markedly different starting point.

The region needs roads and railways, but it also needs industrial parks, cold-storage facilities, data centres, renewable-energy plants, irrigation systems, logistics hubs and modern financial infrastructure.

Investment needs to do more than finance individual assets.

It should help connect those assets into functioning economic ecosystems.

Dubai-headquartered DP World already provides an indication of how UAE-linked commercial expertise can play a role in this process.

In Rwanda, its Kigali Logistics Platform operates as an inland dry port connecting the landlocked country with regional markets and the ports of Mombasa and Dar es Salaam.

In Tanzania, DP World has committed more than $500m to modernising Terminal 1 at Dar es Salaam port under a 30-year concession.

In Kenya, the company launched a digital Port Community System in Mombasa in 2025 aimed at improving cargo visibility, clearance and port efficiency.

These investments matter because they illustrate the kind of integrated approach East Africa increasingly needs: infrastructure combined with logistics, technology and regional connectivity.

Kenya can become the gateway

For Kenya, the opportunity is particularly significant.

Nairobi already serves as one of East Africa’s principal commercial, financial and diplomatic centres. It also has one of the continent’s most developed technology ecosystems and provides access to the wider regional market.

That gives Kenya the potential to become more than a destination for UAE investment.

It can serve as a platform through which investors explore opportunities across East Africa.

But gateway status is valuable only if it produces tangible economic benefits.

Kenya must therefore think regionally.

An investor locating a regional headquarters in Nairobi should be able to finance a project in Uganda, serve customers in Tanzania, source goods from Rwanda and move products through Kenya’s ports without encountering unnecessary regulatory or logistical barriers.

That is ultimately what economic integration should deliver.

If Kenya can position itself as the place from which international capital accesses the wider East African market, its value proposition to UAE investors becomes considerably stronger.

Agriculture offers common interests

Food security is one area where the interests of East Africa and the Gulf intersect naturally.

The UAE has limited arable land and depends heavily on imported food. East Africa, meanwhile, has substantial agricultural potential but continues to struggle with low productivity, inadequate storage, post-harvest losses, weak logistics and limited access to finance.

That mismatch creates an obvious investment opportunity.

But agriculture should not be viewed simply through the production of coffee, tea, horticultural produce or grains.

Investors should consider the entire value chain.

There are businesses to build — and jobs to create — in irrigation, improved seeds, cold storage, food processing, logistics, packaging, warehousing and agricultural technology.

UAE capital could help finance some of that infrastructure.

The bigger prize, however, would be building regional food value chains rather than simply accelerating the export of raw commodities.

Imagine a horticultural supply chain in which Kenyan farmers produce crops, local businesses handle processing and logistics, investors provide capital and market access, and Gulf consumers receive higher-value finished products.

That model would spread economic benefits much more widely than a relationship based purely on commodity exports.

It could create jobs, improve farmer incomes, support local companies and strengthen food security on both sides.

That is the kind of partnership capable of changing an economy.

Infrastructure must connect assets

The same principle applies to infrastructure.

East Africa has made significant investments in roads, railways, ports and airports. But infrastructure becomes economically transformative only when it moves people, goods and capital efficiently.

The next generation of infrastructure investment should therefore focus increasingly on the connections between assets.

A railway needs logistics centres.

A port needs efficient road and rail links.

Farmers need cold chains.

Manufacturers need reliable electricity.

Digital businesses need data centres and high-speed connectivity.

Tourism requires airports, roads and hospitality infrastructure.

The UAE’s experience in developing integrated logistics systems could be particularly relevant to these challenges.

Kenya’s Standard Gauge Railway, the Port of Mombasa and the Northern Corridor already provide important physical assets.

The opportunity now is to make those assets work harder by connecting them more efficiently to industrial zones, regional supply chains and neighbouring markets.

Infrastructure should not ultimately be judged simply by what governments build.

It should be judged by the economic activity those investments enable.

Technology broadens the relationship

There is another, less visible opportunity that could prove equally transformative: technology.

East Africa has a young population, a rapidly expanding digital economy and a growing pool of technology entrepreneurs.

Kenya, in particular, has demonstrated that innovation does not always have to begin with expensive physical infrastructure.

Mobile money is perhaps the best-known example.

The next wave could come from artificial intelligence, fintech, agritech, health technology, logistics technology and digital public infrastructure.

The UAE has made no secret of its ambition to establish itself as a global technology and artificial intelligence hub.

East Africa offers something equally valuable: a large and growing market where technologies can be applied to real-world problems ranging from agriculture and healthcare to payments and logistics.

There could therefore be room for partnerships between UAE capital and East African innovation.

But the same principle applies here as elsewhere.

Ideas need credible business models.

Technology start-ups need access to markets.

And promising companies need investment structures that allow them to scale.

Bankable projects are the real test

A region can have excellent investment proposals and still struggle to attract capital if projects are not structured properly.

That is why banks, development finance institutions, private equity funds, pension funds and sovereign investors must be part of the investment conversation.

The East Africa CEO & Investment Forum provides an opportunity to bring these players to the same table.

But the objective should not simply be to showcase projects.

It should be to determine which opportunities are genuinely investment-ready.

What is preventing promising projects from reaching financial close?

What risks are investors unwilling to assume?

What regulatory obstacles are undermining otherwise viable investments?

And what combination of public and private capital could unlock them?

In some cases, blended finance could provide part of the answer.

In others, governments may need to provide guarantees, facilitate local-currency financing, develop credible public-private partnerships or introduce reforms that reduce regulatory uncertainty.

External investors can bring capital and expertise.

East African governments and businesses must bring something equally important: properly prepared projects and predictable investment environments.

Capital has choices.

East Africa must give it compelling reasons to stay.

Investment must create shared value

There is, of course, a legitimate debate about the growing role of Gulf capital in Africa.

Investment should never be measured solely by how much money enters a country.

The quality of that investment matters just as much.

East African governments should therefore be clear about what they expect from strategic partnerships.

Does an investment create local jobs?

Does it develop skills?

Does it enable local companies to become suppliers?

Does it expand productive capacity?

Does it increase exports?

Does it transfer technology?

And does it create economic value that remains in the country long after the initial investment announcement?

These questions matter because large investment pledges can create impressive headlines without necessarily transforming economies.

East Africa does not need investment at any cost.

It needs investment that contributes to long-term competitiveness.

The UAE has demonstrated what strategic investment can achieve when capital, infrastructure, policy and ambition are aligned.

East Africa should draw useful lessons from that experience while building a model suited to its own economies, institutions and societies.

The real test comes after Nairobi

The East Africa CEO & Investment Forum will undoubtedly produce discussions, meetings and potentially new investment announcements.

But its success cannot be measured by the size of the delegations or the number of memoranda signed in Nairobi.

The real test will come months and years later.

How many deals reach financial close?

How many projects actually begin?

How many jobs are created?

How many East African companies become suppliers?

How much additional regional trade is generated?

And how many investors who arrive in Nairobi for the first time decide that East Africa deserves a long-term commitment?

Those are the numbers that will ultimately matter.

The UAE has capital, expertise and global investment networks.

East Africa has markets, resources, a young population and enormous room for growth.

Kenya sits at an important intersection between the two.

The opportunity, therefore, is not simply to persuade investors from the UAE to put money into East Africa.

It is to create investment partnerships that make both sides more competitive while delivering measurable benefits to African economies.

That requires governments to provide clarity, businesses to develop credible projects and investors to take a long-term view.

The September forum provides the meeting place.

The harder — and far more important — work begins when the meetings end: turning conversations into projects that people can see, use and benefit from.

That is where the real Kenya–UAE investment story should begin.

Zachary Ochieng is a global communications strategist and former business and technology editor

Tags: EAC tradeEast Africa investmentGulf capitalinfrastructure investmentKenya-UAE tradeUAE investment
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Editorial Staff

Editorial Staff

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