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11 months ago
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Home Business & Economy

China wins Africa as US retreats

by Editorial Staff
11 months ago
in Business & Economy
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Keypoints:

  • China exports to Africa soar past 2020 totals
  • US tariffs squeeze AGOA as Beijing cuts levies
  • Steel, batteries and green tech lead imports

CHINA has cemented its position as Africa’s fastest-growing trading partner, with exports to the continent soaring 25 percent in the first half of 2025 alone. The surge reflects Beijing’s success in exploiting shifting global trade dynamics, as Washington doubles down on protectionist policies.

According to data reported by Bloomberg, China exported goods worth $122bn to Africa in just six months — exceeding the full-year export tally recorded in 2020. Trade between the two regions is now on course to break the $200bn mark before the end of 2025, underscoring Africa’s growing importance in Beijing’s global economic strategy.

Tariff wars tilt the balance

The timing is no coincidence. Under President Donald Trump, the United States has expanded tariffs on goods from more than 30 African nations, effectively eroding the benefits of duty-free access once provided under the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA). This aggressive stance has made African exporters less competitive in the US market while raising the cost of imports flowing in the opposite direction.

By contrast, Beijing has opted for a strategy of openness. In June, President Xi Jinping announced the removal of import levies on goods from all African nations that maintain diplomatic relations with China. This move, described by African officials as a lifeline for exporters, has already widened access for agricultural producers while enhancing demand for Chinese products across the continent.

‘China has managed to position itself as Africa’s partner of choice at a time when the US is closing doors,’ a Lagos-based economist told Bloomberg.

African markets welcome Chinese goods

China’s policy shift was swiftly followed by a wave of trade openings. Ethiopia, Congo, Gambia and Malawi joined the list of African countries allowed to export agricultural produce to Chinese markets, bringing the total number of beneficiaries to 19.

At the same time, African buyers have become a critical outlet for Chinese goods struggling to find markets elsewhere amid slowing demand in Europe and the US. Steel and iron component exports to Africa surged 43 percent this year, while sales of batteries jumped 41 percent. Transformers and converters — essential to renewable energy systems — grew by more than 25 percent, signalling Africa’s rising appetite for both industrial equipment and green technologies.

‘This is not just about cheap imports — it is about Africa plugging into global supply chains at a time of rapid technological change,’ said a trade analyst in Johannesburg.

Bar chart infographic showing Africa’s top five imports from China in 2025: ships ($7.6bn, 58%), phones ($3.2bn, 5%), passenger cars ($2.5bn, 115%), fabrics ($2.4bn, 15%), and construction machinery ($2.2bn, 63%).
Top five Chinese exports to Africa in 2025, led by ships, telecom devices, passenger cars, fabrics and construction machinery

Top five mobility infrastructure imports

Among the most significant Chinese exports to Africa in 2025 are products tied to mobility and infrastructure development. The top five categories include:

  1. Steel and iron components – up 43 percent year-on-year
  2. Industrial batteries – up 41 percent
  3. Transformers and converters – up 25 percent
  4. Automotive parts and machinery – growing steadily in double digits
  5. Green technology equipment – from solar panels to electric vehicle systems

These sectors are central to Africa’s infrastructure push, as governments invest heavily in renewable energy, transport upgrades and digital connectivity.

Political undertones

The divergent approaches from Washington and Beijing have added a geopolitical layer to Africa’s trade choices. Trump’s tariff strategy, designed to shore up US manufacturing, has effectively weakened AGOA’s appeal, a programme once considered the cornerstone of Africa-US economic relations.

Meanwhile, Beijing has deepened its economic and diplomatic ties across the continent, positioning itself as a reliable partner offering both markets for African exports and affordable industrial imports.

For now, African governments have broadly welcomed the arrangement. The availability of cheaper Chinese goods has boosted access to industrial equipment without sparking the backlash seen in other markets, where accusations of dumping have been more vocal.

Africa in Beijing’s strategy

Analysts believe Africa’s role in China’s trade expansion will continue to grow as Beijing recalibrates its global partnerships. With Western demand stagnating and trade tensions with the US showing no sign of easing, African markets provide China with both a commercial opportunity and a strategic foothold.

‘If the trajectory holds, Africa will become one of China’s top three trading regions within the decade,’ said an economist at the African Trade Policy Centre.

The implications for the US are stark. As China’s influence rises, Washington risks losing not only market share but also political leverage across a continent that is increasingly central to global growth.

For Africa, the challenge will be balancing access to affordable imports with long-term industrial development. For now, however, Beijing’s open-door strategy has offered the continent a fast-expanding alternative to the tariff-heavy stance from Washington.

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Editorial Staff

Editorial Staff

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